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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?

Final Odds

No: 50%
Yes: 50%

Probability Chart (30 days)

Volume:$0
Resolution Source:Polymarket (Signal API / Gamma)
Closed:Jul 15, 2026, 12:00 PMJul 15, 2026, 12:00 PM
Status:Trading closed — awaiting resolution

About this market

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Trading closed

CLOSED

This market no longer accepts trades. It will be resolved from the stated resolution source, and payouts settle automatically to winning positions.